by Michael Tsesmelis, Ljiljana Dolamic, Marcus Matthias Keupp, Dimitri Percia David, Alain Mermoud | Sep 21, 2022 | Publications, Scientific Articles
Abstract Strategic decisions rely heavily on non-scientific instrumentation to forecast emerging technologies and leading companies. Instead, we build a fast quantitative system with a small computational footprint to discover the most important technologies and...
by Technology Observatory | Jul 27, 2022 | Search Trends
Search trends for Blockchain (blue), Cryptocurrency (red), and Ethereum (yellow). The vertical axis represents the index of Google Search (a proxy for the interest captured by the popularity of top search queries in Google Search across various regions and languages)....
by Technology Observatory | Jul 27, 2022 | Search Trends
Search trends for GPT-3 (blue), DALL-E 2 (red), Hugging Face (yellow), and OpenAI (green). The vertical axis represents the index of Google Search (a proxy for the interest captured by the popularity of top search queries in Google Search across various regions and...
by Technology Observatory | Jul 27, 2022 | Search Trends
Search trends for 3G (blue), 4G (red), and 5G (yellow). The vertical axis represents the index of Google Search (a proxy for the interest captured by the popularity of top search queries in Google Search across various regions and languages). Such an index is used to...
by Sarah Ismail, Alain Mermoud, Dimitri Percia David, Valentin Mulder, Loïc Maréchal, Samuel Orso | May 1, 2022 | Podcasts, Publications, Scientific Articles
Abstract The goal of this quantitative study is to identify, analyze, and forecast trends related to data protection and encryption technologies. Based on Wikipedia pageview statistics, we study the public interest in 36 technologies that were previously identified by...
by Dimitri Percia David, William Blonay, Sébastien Gillard, Alain Mermoud, Loïc Maréchal, Michael Tsesmelis, Thomas Maillart | Apr 4, 2022 | Podcasts, Scientific Articles
Abstract The quantitative study of security dynamics in computer-science technologies is essential for understanding security-development patterns of information systems. Here, we specify and investigate security dynamics as (i) the relation between technological and...
by Alexander Glavackij, Dimitri Percia David, Jacques Roitel, Alain Mermoud, Angelika Romanou, Thomas Maillart | Feb 1, 2022 | Podcasts, Publications, Scientific Articles
Abstract In an environment where technological development largely determines economic growth and social change, predicting these developments is critical for strategic decisions in organizations. Previous work widely uses S-curves to model technological development...
by Jacques Roitel, Dimitri Percia David, Alexander Glavackij, Alain Mermoud, Thomas Maillart | Feb 1, 2022 | Podcasts, Publications, Scientific Articles
Abstract Identifying emerging technologies is paramount for anticipating opportunities and risks in organizations early. Previous studies highlight that the combination of technologies sparks innovations. This phenomenon, coined technological convergence, is mainly...
by Claudia Schärer, Michael Tsesmelis | Jan 28, 2022 | Press
Dr. Claudia Schärer is head of early detection at the Swiss Academy of Engineering Sciences (SATW). Every two years, her team produces the Technology Outlook report, which describes forward-looking technologies and assesses their importance for Switzerland. The 2021...
by Michael Tsesmelis, Dimitri Percia David, Thomas Maillart, Ljiljana Dolamic, Giorgio Tresoldi, William Blonay, Colin Barschel, Quentin Ladetto, Claudia Schärer, Vincent Lenders, Kilian Cuche, Alain Mermoud | Jan 20, 2022 | Podcasts, Publications, Technology Reviews
Abstract Several severe cyberincidents are pushing the Swiss federal government to take extensive measures against cyberthreats. The National Strategy for the protection of Switzerland against Cyber risks 2018-2022 (NCS) details the various measures that the...
