by Alexander Glavackij, Dimitri Percia David, Alain Mermoud, Angelika Romanou, Karl Aberer | Nov 29, 2022 | Publications, Scientific Articles
Abstract Because of the considerable heterogeneity and complexity of the technological landscape, building accurate models to forecast is a challenging endeavor. Due to their high prevalence in many complex systems, S-curves are a popular forecasting approach in...
by François Burguet, Loïc Maréchal, Alain Mermoud | Nov 7, 2022 | Publications, Scientific Articles
Abstract This paper revisits the study of Cochrane (2005), to estimate the risk and returns of venture capital investments while correcting for the selection bias. We use an up-to-date dataset and enhance it to account for missing firm valuations using machine...
by Michael Tsesmelis, Ljiljana Dolamic, Marcus Matthias Keupp, Dimitri Percia David, Alain Mermoud | Sep 21, 2022 | Publications, Scientific Articles
Abstract Strategic decisions rely heavily on non-scientific instrumentation to forecast emerging technologies and leading companies. Instead, we build a fast quantitative system with a small computational footprint to discover the most important technologies and...
by Sarah Ismail, Alain Mermoud, Dimitri Percia David, Valentin Mulder, Loïc Maréchal, Samuel Orso | May 1, 2022 | Podcasts, Publications, Scientific Articles
Abstract The goal of this quantitative study is to identify, analyze, and forecast trends related to data protection and encryption technologies. Based on Wikipedia pageview statistics, we study the public interest in 36 technologies that were previously identified by...
by Dimitri Percia David, William Blonay, Sébastien Gillard, Alain Mermoud, Loïc Maréchal, Michael Tsesmelis, Thomas Maillart | Apr 4, 2022 | Podcasts, Scientific Articles
Abstract The quantitative study of security dynamics in computer-science technologies is essential for understanding security-development patterns of information systems. Here, we specify and investigate security dynamics as (i) the relation between technological and...
